Tag Archives: cycles analysis

General, Research, Software

New Stock Market Forecast Tools SMFT-2 Released

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Addaptron Software released a new Stock Market Forecast Tools SMFT-2. It is an integrated advanced system that is the next generation improved software based on older SMFT-1 version and a few recent development projects.

New Stock Market Forecast Tools SMFT-2

 

Most prediction modules provided with back-test calculation to estimate the accuracy of forecast within the recent performance periods. Additionally, the back-testing computations play an important role if more than one method is used. It allows estimating a weight of each method in a composed result; the weights that are proportional to the ability of the methods to predict the price.

SMFT-2 currently includes five major modules:

  • TA Predictor – prediction for day or week period based on technical analysis, pattern recognition and Neural Networks (generates composite result). Back-analysis models optimization and batch calculation for comparative analysis included.
  • Waves – Elliott Wave model: back-test optimization, up to 10 waves forecast.
  • Cycles – prediction based on cycle analysis.
  • Week day – search for maximum performance using price behavior depending on week day. It allows discovering the best entry/exit days of week; batch calculation included.
  • Month day – search for maximum performance using price behavior depending on month day. It allows discovering the best entry/exit days of month; batch calculation included.

The implemented methods are statistically proven and widely used. All modules share the same EOD (end-of-day) input data. The software is provided with a free Downloader that allows downloading EOD historical quotes files from the Internet for free. A fully-functional software SMFT-2 during initial 30-day period is free. The software and associated documentation are delivered via download links over the Internet. For technical requirements, installation instruction, and download link, visit SMFT-2 download page.

Software

S&P-500 Forecast for the Next Week – from June 28 to July 2, 2010

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S&P-500 Forecast for the Next Week - from June 28 to July 2, 2010

The chart shows S&P-500 forecast for the period from June 28 to July 2. The calculation has been performed using Stock Market Predictor SMAP-3 (cycle analysis). The forecast is a possible uptrend.

Nothing in this piece or on this web site should be construed as investment advice in any way. Always do our own research or/and consult a qualified investment advisor. It is wise to analyze data from multiple sources and draw your own conclusions based on the soundest principles. Be aware of the risks involved in stock investments
Software

S&P-500 Forecast for June 2010

The first chart represents S&P-500 forecast for the first week of June. The calculation has been performed using Neural Network Stock Trend Predictor NNSTP-2. The forecast is a sideways fluctuation.

S&P-500 Forecast for the first week of June 2010

The second chart represents S&P-500 forecast for June. The calculation has been performed using Stock Market Predictor SMAP-3 (cycle analysis). The forecast is the following: fluctuation for a few days and then a possible uptrend at the end of the month.

S&P-500 Forecast for June 2010

Nothing in this piece or on this web site should be construed as investment advice in any way. Always do our own research or/and consult a qualified investment advisor. It is wise to analyze data from multiple sources and draw your own conclusions based on the soundest principles. Be aware of the risks involved in stock investments
Software

S&P-500 Forecast for May 17 – June 2, 2010

S&P-500 Forecast for May 17 – June 2, 2010

Chart represents S&P-500 forecast for May 17 – June 2, 2010. The calculation has been performed using Stock Market Predictor SMAP-3 (cycle analysis). The forecast is the following: downtrend may continue until May 21, then a reversal to uptrend until June 02.

Computational details: regular mode (auto); number of line for spectrum analysis – 48; used historical data period – 4 months (from December 17, 2009 to May 14, 2010); back-test deviation – 1.11%; spectrum lines and fitting charts –

Spectrum and Fitting Charts

Software

S&P-500 Forecast for November 9-13, 2009

S&P-500 Forecast for November 9-13, 2009

Chart represents S&P-500 forecast for November 9-13, 2009. The predictions have been performed using Investment Analyzer InvAn-4 (pattern similarity) and Stock Market Analyzer-Predictor SMAP-3 . Cycle analysis forecast and, especially, pattern similarity forecast show downtrend for the next week.

Pattern similarity forecast built on the comparisons of Open, High, Low, Close, and Volume for each day. This particular forecast used 80 days period to compare. The data of 504 companies from around 2-year historical period were used. The software scanned 151,200 patterns and found the best 10 matches which have been used to compose the forecast. In numbers, S&P-500 may go below 1000. Since the market recently became fast-evolving, the cycle analysis forecast computed for short periods, 6-10 months.